market trends to watch

8 Commercial Insurance Market Trends to Watch in 2024

In the response to the ever-changing risk landscape, Van Wyk proactively addresses your concerns by closely monitoring market developments and putting your needs first. We deliver tailored and comprehensive risk management solutions, ensuring peace of mind for your business, employees, and family.

Amid the evolving risk environment in 2023, the commercial insurance space faced increased complexity and continued volatility. Shifting market dynamics led to both improved conditions and premium deceleration in some coverage lines, while headwinds in other segments resulted in diminished profitability and double-digit rate jumps. Businesses grappled with various challenges, and considering these inconsistencies, the likelihood of a soft market emerging in the near future remains low.

Looking ahead to 2024, industry experts anticipate ongoing challenges in the commercial insurance sector, albeit with potentially more favorable conditions for some insurance buyers and in specific coverage lines. Here’s a brief overview of eight key market trends to watch:

1. Social Inflation Concerns

  • Societal trends influencing rising insurance claims and lawsuits above the general economic inflation rate.
  • Factors such as third-party litigation funding, alterations of tort reforms, and the rise of anti-corporate culture contribute to increased litigation and insurance claims.
  • Businesses urged to uphold responsible operations and transparency to mitigate underinsurance concerns.

2. Extreme Weather Patterns

  • Increasingly devastating and costly extreme weather events, impacting businesses nationwide.
  • 2023 marked the fourth consecutive year of global insured losses from natural disasters exceeding $100 billion.
  • Insurance industry urged to adopt innovative solutions to address growing weather-related losses.

3. Economic Pressures

  • Surging inflation, though having peaked in 2022, continues to drive up costs across various lines of commercial coverage.
  • Increased claim expenses and rising premiums affecting property, auto, workers’ compensation, and liability insurance segments.
  • Businesses advised to have robust financial plans in place to navigate economic pressures.

4. Supply Chain Disruption

  • Ongoing supply chain disruptions since the COVID-19 pandemic, impacting businesses and recovery capabilities following property losses.
  • Businesses encouraged to implement new supply chain technology, update contingency plans, and forge strong partnerships to minimize disruptions.

5. AI Developments

  • Growing popularity of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, with potential benefits in loss control and claims management.
  • Risks associated with AI technology, including biases, errors, changing legislation, and increased cyber threats.
  • Businesses urged to carefully assess the pros and cons before implementing AI solutions.

6. Geopolitical Upheaval

  • Severe geopolitical upheaval in 2023, impacting trade dynamics, tariffs, economic sanctions, and coverage exclusions.
  • Concerns about coverage for losses arising from nation-state actions, with evolving policy language on war exclusions.
  • Businesses advised to closely monitor global trade policies and prepare for potential disruptions.

7. Reinsurance Challenges

  • Reinsurance segment facing challenges due to increasing demand, large-scale losses, and rising costs.
  • Primary insurers experiencing reinsurance cost increases, leading to potential rate hikes for insureds.
  • Projections suggest a rebound in reinsurer profits in 2024, with commercial property reinsurance premiums likely to rise.

8. E&S Shifts

  • Excess and surplus (E&S) insurance segment flourishing as carriers in the standard insurance market reduce risk appetites.
  • E&S market maintaining a favorable pricing landscape and underwriting profits.
  • Businesses encouraged to stay updated on E&S market developments and assess unique coverage needs regularly.


In the face of a dynamic and challenging commercial insurance landscape in 2023, businesses must embrace a proactive approach. Social inflation, extreme weather events, economic pressures, and other factors demand resilient risk management strategies. As we move into 2024, the key lies in strategic adaptation, informed decision-making, and a commitment to continuous improvement. Van Wyk remains a steadfast partner, ready to assist businesses in tailoring comprehensive solutions to their unique needs. Together, we navigate the evolving risk environment, ensuring a secure and prosperous future for businesses, employees, and families alike.

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